FRIDAY NIGHT CFB BETS

 

Friday, Nov 11th


Betting Info as of 11/8 per Bovada; lines are listed with Home Teams

All Times are Eastern


East Carolina @ Cincinnati (-5)

8:00 PM


East Carolina travels to Cincinnati in a wonderful Friday night AAC game. The Pirates come in off of a bye and a three game winning streak to boot. Mike Houston is having his best season as head coach in some time. Quarterback Halton Ahlers sure helps. The experienced passer is confident and great at managing a game. Cincinnati is certainly not as good as last year’s CFP team. That is not in dispute. However, Luke Fickell’s team is still very solid and has a slim outside chance at another NY6 appearance. Sure, the Bearcats rating is nowhere close to last season. But, they are still a consistent team and five is a low number. Betting on favorites with question marks is not typically a great way to increase the bankroll and ECU is on fire lately. Throw in the fact that five is a dead number and it has bounced up and down throughout the wagering. Thus, only a small bet should be made here. The play: Cincinnati-5 (1 unit)


Colorado @ USC (-34.5)

9:30 PM


Colorado is possibly the worst Power 5 football team this season. No, scratch that: Colorado is the worst Power 5 football team this season. The Buffaloes need a major overhaul from a messiah level coach to get back to any level of respectability. For now they are terrible. USC has a real chance at the CFP. The Trojans offense is superb, Lincoln Riley & co. have done wonderful at transferring their system from Oklahoma and seeing results in year one. However, defense is seriously lacking in the Coliseum. Still, Colorado is terrible and can be blindly faded at this point. Generally, or rather almost always, spreads this large should be bet small due to the fact covering typically comes down to whether or not the favorite cares to do so. The play: USC-34.5 (1 unit)


Fresno State @ UNLV (+9.5)

10:30 PM


Fresno is a top G5 team when Jake Haener is taking the snaps. The Bulldogs are average to downright terrible when he is not. Haener should be playing in Las Vegas on Friday night. Thus, Fresno should be able to win the game with some ease. However, UNLV has improved almost all season. The Runnin Rebels are likely nearing their ceiling of performance. UNLV can absolutely keep this one respectable at home. Fresno’s erratic play is worrisome and should curtail any desire to bet big. Plus, plus-nine and half is brutal. Ten is a key number so lay the current spread if you like the favorite, but wait for ten if you want to take the points. If it never gets there, pass. The play: wait for UNLV+10 (1 unit), pass otherwise

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

UPDATED POWER RANKINGS

Image
  This Week saw the most change in rankings so far this season. Ohio State stays in the top spot, but Georgia has tied them in terms of rating. The Buckeyes came very close to dropping behind the Bulldogs. Meanwhile, Alabama traded places with Georgia. The Tide finally moved down after losing at LSU. Still, the road loss by a two point conversion was not enough to cause the marked fall Alabama has suffered in the traditional polls. Worry not 'Bama fans; the Tide have a lot of losing to do before becoming just another team. Tennessee remains in fourth after the not so surprising loss at Georgia. The SEC can still get two teams into the playoff if both Georgia and the Vols win out.  Just outside the top 4 is Michigan. The Wolverines are on a collision course for another undefeated matchup against Ohio State; this time in Columbus. A significant upgrade will be in order with a win there. USC remains in sixth but probably needs the defense to get some stops or this could be the ce...
Read more

Tuesday Night MACtion Bets

Image
  WEEK 12 BETS Betting Info as of 11/15 per Bovada; lines are listed with Home Teams All Times are Eastern Tuesday, Nov 15 th Bowling Green @ Toledo (-17) 7:00 PM Laying big favorites is a tough task when the team giving points is not elite. The favorite needs to be vastly superior to the underdog once a spread eclipses two full scores. Otherwise, the underdog really needs to be a cellar dweller to justify laying the points. Toledo has played somewhat consistently with preseason expectations. However, the offense has failed to fire as much as anticipated. Sure, Jason Candle is among the top coaches in the MAC. But Laying this many points is not a great bet when the favorite is not elite. Still, Bowling Green finds itself on the cusp of bowl eligibility. The Falcons have beaten lesser competition and caught a few teams at the perfect times. An experienced passer and a competent coach make Bowling Green more than just a blip Toledo can look past. For that reason, Toledo can only be...
Read more

MACtion Wednesday Bets

Image
  Wednesday, Nov 9 th Buffalo @ Central Michigan (-2.5) 7:00 PM Central Michigan is playing like a new team now that star running back Lew Nichols is back. The Chips have actually been able to move the ball allowing Jim McElwain to use the full playbook and make an actual game plan. Buffalo came back to earth after losing at Ohio last week. Yes, the Bulls are playing better than expected. However, it appears Buffalo reached its ceiling for the year. We should find out tonight. Central Michigan at its worst could beat Buffalo this season. Catching this spread prior to some drastic line movement would have made it a full play. However, it is pretty close to accurate at minus-2.5. The Play: CMU-2.5 (1 unit) Kent State @ Bowling Green (+2.5) 7:00 PM Kent State does not have a terrible loss this season. Kent State is playing to a lower rating than preseason predictions indicated they would largely due to the Fast Flash offense disappointing this season. Still, Kent State at its wors...
Read more