WEEK 10 BETS: WEEKNIGHT GAMES

WEEK 10 BETS; WEEKNIGHTS

Betting Info as of 10/31 per Bovada; lines are listed with Home Teams

All Times are Eastern

Tuesday, Nov 1st

Ball State @ Kent State (-7)

7:00 PM

Hopefully you bet this matchup early if you liked Kent State. The Golden Flashes opened -4.5 and are now a full touchdown favorite. Clearly, the early money recognized this spread was not enough. Kent State has somewhat reached their typical level under coach Sean Lewis and are dependable as far as a MAC team goes. Ball State hsa played consistently most of the season and will likely finish somewhere in the middle of the standings at years end. In this game, Kent State is the bet if you think they win huge. Only a small bet would be wise on the home favorite though, because the MAC often has unexpected results filled with wild scoring runs that can make a bettor’s head spin. The play: Kent State-7 (1 unit)

Buffalo @ Ohio (+3)

7:30 PM

Buffalo has improved tremendously since losing at home to Holy Cross early in the season. The Bulls are in contention to win the MAC. Likewise, Ohio has slightly improved since nearly losing to Fordham. Clearly both teams are improving and have coaches of similar ability and experience. Additionally, Ohio can absolutely win the game as home underdog. Lastly, the ratings have the game at pick em. Buffalo has looked tremendous in MAC play. Thus, the bet on Ohio is a small one only. The play: Ohio+3 (1 unit) 

Wednesday, Nov 2nd

Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois (-4)

7:00 PM 

MACtion continues Wednesday as the Chippewas travel to DeKalb to take on Northern Illinois. Rocky Lombardi missed the last game after returning the week before. NIU is a completely different team without Lombardi and his status is vital to wagering on the Huskies. Meanwhile, Central Michigan has been possibly the most disappointing team in the MAC this year. The Chips have not gotten the production from Lew Nichols they anticipated and cannot seem to get going without his ground yards. Having said that, NIU has played closer to their typical number and more consistently this year. Central Michigan has dropped down the ratings almost every week this year. Therefore, their best might warrant favoritism here. Thus, only a small bet can be placed on NIU, if any at all. The play: Pass

Western Michigan @ Bowling Green (-4.5)

7:00 PM

Western Michigan is really struggling in 2022. The Broncos have a tough time moving the ball against competent defenses and are just as bad at stopping opponents. Meanwhile, Bowling Green has overperformed by about a field goal this season and have a slight shot at achieving bowl eligibility. The Falcons would need to win this week to have a realistic chance; two of their final four games are against Kent State and Toledo. Even so, the spread is a bit surprising given the recent history and power levels of these teams. The line movement is a bit concerning, so any bet made on Western Michigan would need to be limited to a small play. The play: Western Michigan+4.5 (1 unit) 

Thursday, Nov 3rd

UTEP @ Rice (-3.5)

7:00 PM

This spread is exactly what it should be. Therefore, no bet. The play: Pass

Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina (+3)

7:30 PM

Both Appalachian State and Coastal Carolina have played right around expected this season. Appalachian State had a great win at Texas A&M that has looked less impressive each week, but the Mountaineers also had an inexplicable loss at Texas State. Try figuring that out. Meanwhile, Coastal has relied nearly entirely on the efficient passing of Grayson McCall. Coastal is not nearly as good as their record, and the Chanticleer defense is less than spectacular. Still, getting three points at home on a weeknight is a solid bet in the game of college football. The play: Coastal Carolina+3 (1 unit)

Friday, Nov 4th

UMass @ UConn (-15.5)

7:00 PM

The Connecticut Huskies are playing the best football they have in years. Jim Mora is clearly setting a new floor for UConn and it is certainly higher than the ceiling of the last few years under Randy Edsall. Meanwhile, UMass has shown some good stuff (by their standards) in very limited spots this year, but will not be a serious threat in 2022. Don Brown has his hands full and a long road ahead in Amherst. However, UConn should likely not be favored by more than two touchdowns just yet. The number is large for a team that still is not good. To be clear, UConn is very improved and UMass is terrible; the minutemen are quite possibly the worst team in FBS. But, the spread should be slightly smaller and there is not much of a home field advantage. Trusting a team as bad as UMass is a tough ask, so the bet has to stay small. The play: UMass+15.5 (1 unit)

Duke @ Boston College (+9.5)

7:00 PM

Boston College has drastically underperformed this year and the status of quarterback Phil Jurkovec makes this game unplayable. The play: Pass

Oregon State @ Washington (-4.5)

10:30 PM

Oregon State has performed admirably with its very capable backup passer. The Beavers have turned heavily to their ground game to churn out yards and grind lesser opponent defenses into submission. The Beavers are playing almost a touchdown better than they were expected to before the season began. Talking of exceeding expectations, Washington has played quite well in Kalen DeBoer’s first season in Seattle. Michael Penix and a favorable early schedule helped, but the Huskies are still playing much better than during Jimmy Lake’s tenure. This game would be more appropriate at under a field goal. Therefore, Oregon State is the bet. However, the game is slightly better than a coin flip. Thus, a larger bet is not warranted. The play: Oregon State+4.5 (1 unit)