WEEK 13 BETS: FRIDAY GAMES

  WEEK 13 BETS

Betting Info as of 11/23 per Bovada; lines are listed with Home Teams

All Times are Eastern

Friday, Nov 25th

Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan (+2)

NOON

Eastern Michigan is floating around their top level under coach Chris Creighton. Eagles’ games are often really close and entertaining. They are generally a solid wager as an underdog. Meanwhile, Central Michigan is a bit down this year after numerous injuries caused the offense to be inconsistent. Eastern Michigan could win this game more easily than the chances implied by the spread. However, the MAC is a bit of a crapshoot, so let’s keep this one small. The play: EMU+2 (1 unit)

Toledo @ Western Michigan (+7.5)

NOON

Neither of these teams are bettable at the moment. Toledo has a possible injury again at the quarterback position. The Rockets looked terrible for most of the game last week against Bowling Green. Meanwhile, Western Michigan has looked as bad as they have in years all season long. Tim Lester needs a big upset to avoid a hot seat to start next season. The play: Pass

Utah State @ Boise State (-17)

NOON

Utah State is having a bit of a down year overall but the Aggies have slowly and surely crawled back into a spot of acceptable performance. Meanwhile, Boise’s improvements over the course of this season have the Broncos back in the Mountain West Championship game. Still, this spread is large and probably a tad too high. But, Boise at its best can cover against Utah State at its worst. Who knows if that will be the case this week. The play: Pass

Baylor @ Texas (-8.5)

NOON

This spread and spot are brutal for both teams, especially Baylor. The Bears come off a last second loss to TCU that would have made their season. Now, the Bears limp into Austin with little to show for 2022. A bowl will still be reached, but a big win would have really solidified a nice season. Texas has the talent to compete with almost anyone in college football. This spread is a bit high, but Baylor is likely not up for this one after two bad losses back to back. The play: Pass

Tulane @ Cincinnati (-1)

NOON

Tulane appeared to have reached its ceiling two weeks ago during its first conference loss to Central Florida. However, the Green Wave came out last week and absolutely clobbered SMU. The Green Wave won easily despite not converting a single third down. SMU gifted Tulane with several short fields off of turnovers. The final score was not indicative of how close the game really was, but the game was not close even when accounting for the Mustangs’ errors. Cincinnati is the better program and is a deserving favorite, especially at home. However, the early betting has backed Tulane somewhat heavily. It is completely possible that Tulane reaches a new ceiling on Saturday. However, the spot seems to favor Cincinnati. This matchup is particularly tough and a pass is probably the best way to go. The play: Pass

Arizona State @ Arizona (-4)

3:00 PM

The line is spot on. Thus, there is no betting value. The play: Pass

NC State @ North Carolina (-6.5)

3:30 PM

NC State has been a mess all season long. The Wolf Pack were not meeting expectations early in the season and really faltered once Devin Leary was injured and out for the season. North Carolina had outside CFP hopes until a brutal home loss to Georgia Tech last week. Now, the Heels best hope is an ACC championship and possibly a NY6 game. This spread is fair and there is no value backing either team here; both are far too inconsistent and unreliable. The play: Pass 

Arkansas @ Missouri (+3)

3:30 PM

The line is spot on. Thus, there is no betting value. The play: Pass

New Mexico @ Colorado State (-7.5)

3:30 PM

Neither team here is having a good year. However, this game can be handicapped simply using two assumptions: First, terrible teams should rarely, if ever, be favored by more than a score, unless they are playing a bottom 3 team in FBS. Second, only a small bet shall be placed on such a game. Using those assumptions, New Mexico can be backed here with a small bet. The play: New Mexico+7.5 (1 unit)

Nebraska @ Iowa (-10.5)

4:00 PM

Nebraska has shown some heart this year. However, the Cornhuskers just are not good enough to bet against a team with a top notch defense. Yes, Iowa has barely any offense. But, it has improved and Iowa is still a far more reliable program than Nebraska. A distraction-filled offseason awaits the Huskers. Iowa still has a chance at winning the Big Ten Championship if they win this week and play absolutely perfectly next week. While Iowa is capable of covering this spread, this line should be passed, because the offense is unreliable and Nebraska has been slightly better as of late. The play: Pass

UCLA @ California (+10)

4:30 PM

This spread is correct. UCLA faces a huge let down spot here after last week’s emotionally devastating loss to USC. Meanwhile, Cal is absolutely terrible this season. The Bears should not be trusted. Justin Wilcox is likely facing a high chance of termination. The play: Pass

Florida @ Florida State (-10)

7:30 PM

This spread is fair. Florida State is having its best season in some time. The Noles defense is reliable to an extent and the offense can move the ball effectively for the most part. Meanwhile, the Gators are floating around their expected floor in Billy Napier’s first season at the helm. Florida will have better results in the future. But, for now, FSU is the better program in the Sunshine State. How much better is the question. It is not apparent yet, so this game should not be wagered. The play: Pass

Wyoming @ Fresno State (-15)

10:00 PM

This spread is fair. Wyoming has had a respectable season and had a shot at playing in the Mountain West Championship if the Cowboys had won last week. However, Boise defeated Wyoming with a crazy turnover filled end to the game. Wyoming is likely reeling from the loss. Meanwhile, Fresno State returned almost immediately to its expected performance level when Jake Haener was fully healthy. Still, the spread is a tough number to lay. Therefore, no bet. The play: Pass